Bullonomics.com, 24 July, 2024, 00:16, America/New_York, Econ Report

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United States Event Calendar | (Source: Nasdaq)

country event consensus previous actual description
date
2024-07-24 16:05:00 United States FOMC Member Bowman Speaks - - Michelle W. Bowman took office as a member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System on November 26, 2018, to fill an unexpired term ending January 31, 2020. Her public engagements are often used to drop subtle clues regarding future monetary policy.
2024-07-24 16:05:00 United States Fed Logan Speaks - - Lorie K. Logan began serving as the 14th president and CEO of the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas on August 22, 2022. She represents the Eleventh Feder
2024-07-24 13:00:00 United States 5-Year Note Auction 4.331% - The figures displayed in the calendar represent the yield on the Treasury Note auctioned. U.S. Treasury Notes have maturities of two to ten years. Governments issue treasuries to borrow money to cover the gap between the amount they receive in taxes and the amount they spend to refinance existing debt and/or to raise capital. The rate on a Treasury Note represents the return an investor will receive by holding the note for its entire duration. All bidders receive the same rate at the highest accepted bid. Yield fluctuations should be monitored closely as an indicator of the government debt situation. Investors compare the average rate at auction to the rate at previous auctions of the same security.
2024-07-24 12:00:00 United States Atlanta Fed GDPNow 2.7% 2.7% - GDPNow is not an official forecast of the Atlanta Fed. Rather, it is best viewed as a running estimate of real GDP growth based on available economic data for the current measured quarter. There are no subjective adjustments made to GDPNow—the estimate is based solely on the mathematical results of the model. In particular, it does not capture the impact of COVID-19 and social mobility beyond their impact on GDP source data and relevant economic reports that have already been released. It does not anticipate their impact on forthcoming economic reports beyond the standard internal dynamics of the model.
2024-07-24 10:30:00 United States EIA Weekly Refinery Utilization Rates -1.7% - NaN
2024-07-24 10:30:00 United States Cushing Crude Oil Inventories -0.875M - Change in the number of barrels of crude oil held in storage at the Cushing, Oklahoma during the past week. Storage levels at Cushing are important because it serves as the delivery point for the U.S. crude oil benchmark, West Texas Intermediate.
2024-07-24 10:30:00 United States Distillate Fuel Production 0.101M - NaN
2024-07-24 10:30:00 United States EIA Weekly Distillates Stocks 3.454M - The Energy Information Administration reports inventory levels of US crude oil, gasoline and distillates stocks. The figure shows how much oil and product is available in storage. The indicator gives an overview of US petroleum demand.
2024-07-24 10:30:00 United States Gasoline Production -0.751M - NaN
2024-07-24 10:30:00 United States EIA Refinery Crude Runs -0.181M - NaN
2024-07-24 10:30:00 United States Gasoline Inventories 3.328M - Gasoline Inventories measures the change in the number of barrels of commercial gasoline held in inventory by commercial firms during the reported week. The data influences the price of gasoline products which affects inflation. The data has no consistent effect, there are both inflationary and growth implications.
2024-07-24 10:30:00 United States Crude Oil Inventories 0.700M -4.870M - The Energy Information Administration's (EIA) Crude Oil Inventories measures the weekly change in the number of barrels of commercial crude oil held by US firms. The level of inventories influences the price of petroleum products, which can have an impact on inflation. If the increase in crude inventories is more than expected, it implies weaker demand and is bearish for crude prices. The same can be said if a decline in inventories is less than expected. If the increase in crude is less than expected, it implies greater demand and is bullish for crude prices. The same can be said if a decline in inventories is more than expected.
2024-07-24 10:30:00 United States Crude Oil Imports 0.312M - NaN
2024-07-24 10:30:00 United States Heating Oil Stockpiles 0.252M - NaN
2024-07-24 10:00:00 United States New Home Sales 639K 619K - New Home Sales measures the annualized number of new single-family homes that were sold during the previous month. This report tends to have more impact when it's released ahead of Existing Home Sales because the reports are tightly correlated. A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the USD, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the USD.
2024-07-24 10:00:00 United States New Home Sales -11.3% - New Home Sales measures the change in percenatge of the new home sales, A new home sale is considered to be any deposit or contract signing either in the year the house was built or the year after it was built. A strong number would indicate a strong housing activity, and therefore a strong economy. A higher than expected number should be taken as positive to the USD, while a lower than expected number as negative
2024-07-24 09:45:00 United States S&P Global Composite PMI 54.8 - NaN
2024-07-24 09:45:00 United States S&P Global US Manufacturing PMI 51.6 51.6 - The Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) measures the activity level of purchasing managers in the manufacturing sector. A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the sector; below 50 indicates contraction. Traders watch these surveys closely as purchasing managers usually have early access to data about their company’s performance, which can be a leading indicator of overall economic performance. A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the USD while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the USD.
2024-07-24 09:45:00 United States S&P Global Services PMI 54.7 55.3 - The Service PMI release is published monthly by Markit Economics. The data are based on surveys of over 400 executives in private sector service companies. The surveys cover transport and communication, financial intermediaries, business and personal services, computing & IT, hotels and restaurants.  An index level of 50 denotes no change since the previous month, while a level above 50 signals an improvement, and below 50 indicates a deterioration. A reading that is stronger than forecast is generally supportive (bullish) for the USD, while a weaker than forecast reading is generally negative (bearish) for the USD.
2024-07-24 08:30:00 United States Wholesale Inventories 0.4% 0.6% - Wholesale Inventories measures the change in the total value of goods held in inventory by wholesalers. A higher than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the USD, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the USD.
2024-07-24 08:30:00 United States Retail Inventories Ex Auto - - NaN
2024-07-24 08:30:00 United States Goods Trade Balance -98.90B -99.37B - The goods trade balance is the difference in value between imported and exported goods during the reported month.
2024-07-24 08:30:00 United States Building Permits 1.446M 1.399M - Building Permits measures the change in the number of new building permits issued by the government. Building permits are a key indicator of demand in the housing market. A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the USD, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the USD.
2024-07-24 08:30:00 United States Building Permits 3.4% -2.8% - Building Permits is a report closely watched by economists and investors alike. Since all related factors associated with the construction of a building are important economic activities (for example, financing and employment), the building permit report can give a major hint as to the state of the economy in the near future. A higher than expected number should be taken as positive to the USD, while a lower than expected number as negative.
2024-07-24 07:00:00 United States Mortgage Market Index 214.1 - MBA - Mortgage Bankers Association of America. The Market Index covers all mortgage applications during the week. This includes all conventional and government applications, all fixed-rate mortgages (FRMs), all adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs), whether for a purchase or to refinance.
2024-07-24 07:00:00 United States Mortgage Refinance Index 613.0 - MBA - Mortgage Bankers Association of America. The Refinance Index covers all mortgage applications to refinance an existing mortgage. It is the best overall gauge of mortgage refinancing activity. The Refinance Index includes conventional and government refinances, regardless of product (FRM or ARM) or coupon rate refinanced into or out of.Seasonal factors are less significant in refinances than in home sales, however holiday effects are considerable.
2024-07-24 07:00:00 United States MBA Purchase Index 140.4 - MBA - Mortgage Bankers Association of America. The Purchase Index includes all mortgages applications for the purchase of a single-family home. It covers the entire market, both conventional and government loans, and all products. The Purchase Index has proven to be a reliable indicator of impending home sales.
2024-07-24 07:00:00 United States MBA Mortgage Applications 3.9% - Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) Mortgage Applications measures the change in the number of new applications for mortgages backed by the MBA during the reported week. A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the USD, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the USD.
2024-07-24 07:00:00 United States MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate 6.87% - Fixed 30-year mortgage lending rates for 80% loan-to-value mortgage (source by MBA).
2024-07-24 04:05:00 United States Fed Logan Speaks - - Lorie K. Logan began serving as the 14th president and CEO of the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas on August 22, 2022. She represents the Eleventh Feder
2024-07-23 16:30:00 United States API Weekly Crude Oil Stock 0.700M -4.440M -3.900M The American Petroleum Institute reports inventory levels of US crude oil, gasoline and distillates stocks. The figure shows how much oil and product is available in storage.The indicator gives an overview of US petroleum demand. If the increase in crude inventories is more than expected, it implies weaker demand and is bearish for crude prices. The same can be said if a decline in inventories is less than expected. If the increase in crude is less than expected, it implies greater demand and is bullish for crude prices. The same can be said if a decline in inventories is more than expected.
2024-07-23 13:00:00 United States M2 Money Supply 20.96T 21.03T US M2 Money Stock refers to the measure of money supply that includes financial assets held mainly by households. These include savings deposits, time deposits, and balances in retail money market mutual funds, in addition to more readily-available liquid financial assets as defined by the M1 measure of money, such as currency, traveler's checks, demand deposits, and other checkable deposits. The US M2 Money Stock is critical in understanding and forecasting money supply, inflation, and interest rates in the US. Historically, when the money supply dramatically increased in global economies, there would be a following dramatic increase in prices of goods and services, which would then follow monetary policy with the aim to maintain inflation levels low.
2024-07-23 13:00:00 United States 2-Year Note Auction 4.706% 4.434% The figures displayed in the calendar represent the yield on the Treasury Note auctioned. U.S. Treasury Notes have maturities of two to ten years. Governments issue treasuries to borrow money to cover the gap between the amount they receive in taxes and the amount they spend to refinance existing debt and/or to raise capital. The rate on a Treasury Note represents the return an investor will receive by holding the note for its entire duration. All bidders receive the same rate at the highest accepted bid. Yield fluctuations should be monitored closely as an indicator of the government debt situation. Investors compare the average rate at auction to the rate at previous auctions of the same security.
2024-07-23 10:00:00 United States Richmond Services Index -7 5 The Survey of Fifth District Manufacturing Activity - Business activity index. All firms surveyed are located within the Fifth Federal Reserve District, which includes the District of Columbia, Maryland, North Carolina, South Carolina, Virginia, and Most of West Virginia. Each index equals the precentage reporting increase minus the percentage reporting decrease.
2024-07-23 10:00:00 United States Richmond Manufacturing Index -7 -10 -17 The Richmond Manufacturing Index rates the relative level of business conditions including shipments, new orders, and employment. A level above zero on the index indicates improving conditions; below indicates worsening conditions. The data is compiled from a survey of about 100 manufacturers in the Richmond area. A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the USD, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the USD.
2024-07-23 10:00:00 United States Existing Home Sales -0.7% -5.4% Existing Home Sales measures the change in the number of existing (not new) residential buildings that were sold during the previous month. This report helps to gauge the strength of the U.S. housing market and is a key indicator of overall economic strength. A higher than expected number should be taken as positive to the USD, while a lower than expected number as negative
2024-07-23 10:00:00 United States Existing Home Sales 3.99M 4.11M 3.89M Existing Home Sales measures the change in the annualized number of existing residential buildings that were sold during the previous month. This report helps to gauge the strength of the U.S. housing market and is a key indicator of overall economic strength. A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the USD, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the USD.
2024-07-23 10:00:00 United States Richmond Manufacturing Shipments -9 -21 The Survey of Fifth District Manufacturing Activity - Business activity index. All firms surveyed are located within the Fifth Federal Reserve District, which includes the District of Columbia, Maryland, North Carolina, South Carolina, Virginia, and Most of West Virginia. Each index equals the precentage reporting increase minus the percentage reporting decrease.
2024-07-23 08:55:00 United States Redbook 4.8% 4.9% The Redbook Index is a sales-weighted of year-over-year same-store sales growth in a sample of large US general merchandise retailers representing about 9,000 stores. A higher than expected number should be taken as positive to the USD, while a lower than expected number as negative.
2024-07-22 11:30:00 United States 3-Month Bill Auction 5.195% 5.190% The figures displayed in the calendar represent the rate on the Treasury Bill auctioned. U.S. Treasury Bills have maturities of a few days to one year. Governments issue treasuries to borrow money to cover the gap between the amount they receive in taxes and the amount they spend to refinance existing debt and/or to raise capital. The rate on a Treasury Bill represents the return an investor will receive by holding the bill for its entire duration. All bidders receive the same rate at the highest accepted bid. Yield fluctuations should be monitored closely as an indicator of the government debt situation. Investors compare the average rate at auction to the rate at previous auctions of the same security.
2024-07-22 11:30:00 United States 6-Month Bill Auction 4.985% 4.990% The figures displayed in the calendar represent the rate on the Treasury Bill auctioned. U.S. Treasury Bills have maturities of a few days to one year. Governments issue treasuries to borrow money to cover the gap between the amount they receive in taxes and the amount they spend to refinance existing debt and/or to raise capital. The rate on a Treasury Bill represents the return an investor will receive by holding the bill for its entire duration. All bidders receive the same rate at the highest accepted bid. Yield fluctuations should be monitored closely as an indicator of the government debt situation. Investors compare the average rate at auction to the rate at previous auctions of the same security.
2024-07-22 08:30:00 United States Chicago Fed National Activity -0.09 0.23 0.05 A monthly report by the Chicago Federal Reserve Bank that tracks economic activity in the 7th district, which is comprised of Indiana, Iowa, Illinois, Michigan and Wisconsin. The index is useful in tracking economic growth and identifying potential inflation. A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the USD, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the USD.

Two Year-Ten Year | 2Y-10Y | Month/Day Chart

Source: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Minus 2-Year Treasury Constant Maturity | Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (US), Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 2-Year Constant Maturity, Quoted on an Investment Basis via FRED | Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (US), Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 10-Year Constant Maturity, Quoted on an Investment Basis via FRED

Treasury Rates| (Source: Federal Reserve)

1 Month 3 Month 6 Month 1-Year 2-Year 3-Year 5-Year 7-Year 10-Year 20-Year 30-Year
date
2024-07-22 0.0549 0.0543 0.0524 0.0488 0.0450 0.0429 0.0417 0.0420 0.0426 0.0457 0.0448
2024-07-19 0.0548 0.0543 0.0524 0.0487 0.0449 0.0428 0.0416 0.0418 0.0425 0.0455 0.0445
2024-07-18 0.0548 0.0543 0.0523 0.0486 0.0446 0.0424 0.0411 0.0414 0.0420 0.0451 0.0441
2024-07-17 0.0547 0.0543 0.0523 0.0485 0.0442 0.0419 0.0407 0.0409 0.0416 0.0446 0.0437
2024-07-16 0.0548 0.0543 0.0523 0.0485 0.0443 0.0421 0.0409 0.0411 0.0417 0.0448 0.0438
2024-07-15 0.0548 0.0543 0.0523 0.0485 0.0444 0.0423 0.0413 0.0416 0.0423 0.0456 0.0446
2024-07-12 0.0547 0.0543 0.0523 0.0487 0.0445 0.0422 0.0410 0.0413 0.0418 0.0450 0.0439
2024-07-11 0.0548 0.0544 0.0525 0.0491 0.0450 0.0426 0.0413 0.0415 0.0420 0.0451 0.0441
2024-07-10 0.0546 0.0546 0.0533 0.0501 0.0462 0.0438 0.0424 0.0424 0.0428 0.0458 0.0447
2024-07-09 0.0545 0.0546 0.0534 0.0502 0.0462 0.0437 0.0424 0.0425 0.0430 0.0459 0.0449

Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (US) via FRED | Treasury Rate 10 Day

Overnight Unsecured AMERIBOR Benchmark Interest Rate

Source: American Financial Exchange, Overnight Unsecured AMERIBOR Benchmark Interest Rate [AMERIBOR], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/AMERIBOR

Discount Window Primary Credit Rate

Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (US), Discount Window Primary Credit Rate [DPCREDIT], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/DPCREDIT

Effective Federal Funds Rate

Source: Federal Reserve Bank of New York, Effective Federal Funds Rate [EFFR], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/EFFR

Interest Rate on Reserve Balances IORB

Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (US), Interest Rate on Reserve Balances [IORB], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/IORB

Federal Government current expenditures: Interest payments (Billlions of $) [x 100]

Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, Federal government current expenditures: Interest payments [A091RC1Q027SBEA], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/A091RC1Q027SBEA

Federal Debt: Total Public Debt | Millions of Dollars

Source: U.S. Department of the Treasury. Fiscal Service, Federal Debt: Total Public Debt [GFDEBTN], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/GFDEBTN

Market Value of Marketable Treasury Debt | Billions of Dollars

Source: Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, Market Value of Marketable Treasury Debt [MVMTD027MNFRBDAL], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/MVMTD027MNFRBDAL

Real Gross Domestic Product Billions of Chained 2017 Dollars

Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, Real Gross Domestic Product [GDPC1], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/GDPC1

Bank Term Funding Program, Net: Wednesday Level (Mil. of U.S. $) [x 100K]

Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (US), Assets: Liquidity and Credit Facilities: Loans: Bank Term Funding Program, Net: Wednesday Level [H41RESPPALDKNWW], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/H41RESPPALDKNWW

Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items in U.S. City Average

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items in U.S. City Average [CPIAUCSL], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CPIAUCSL

Core Sticky Price Consumer Price Index less Food and Energy

Source: Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, Sticky Price Consumer Price Index less Food and Energy [CORESTICKM159SFRBATL], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CORESTICKM159SFRBATL

St. Louis Fed Financial Stress Index

Source: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, St. Louis Fed Financial Stress Index [STLFSI4], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/STLFSI4

Real-time Sahm Rule Recession Indicator

Source: Sahm, Claudia, Real-time Sahm Rule Recession Indicator [SAHMREALTIME], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/SAHMREALTIME

M1-M2 Money | Billions of Dollars

Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (US), M1 [M1NS], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/M1NS

Real M1 Money | Billions of Dollars

Source: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, Real M1 Money Stock [M1REAL], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/M1REAL

Base Money & Currency in Circulation | Millions of Dollars

Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (US), Monetary Base; Total [BOGMBASE], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis & Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (US), Monetary Base; Currency in Circulation [MBCURRCIR], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis | Monthly Not Seasonally Adjusted | Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (US), M2 [M2NS], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/M2NS