Bullonomics.com, 30 July, 2024, 01:03, America/New_York, Econ Report

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United States Event Calendar | (Source: Nasdaq)

country event consensus previous actual description
date
2024-07-30 16:30:00 United States API Weekly Crude Oil Stock -3.900M - The American Petroleum Institute reports inventory levels of US crude oil, gasoline and distillates stocks. The figure shows how much oil and product is available in storage.The indicator gives an overview of US petroleum demand. If the increase in crude inventories is more than expected, it implies weaker demand and is bearish for crude prices. The same can be said if a decline in inventories is less than expected. If the increase in crude is less than expected, it implies greater demand and is bullish for crude prices. The same can be said if a decline in inventories is more than expected.
2024-07-30 10:30:00 United States Dallas Fed Services Revenues 1.9 - survey responses are used to calculate an index for each indicator. Each index is calculated by subtracting the percentage of respondents reporting a decrease from the percentage reporting an increase. When the share of firms reporting an increase exceeds the share of firms reporting a decrease, the index will be greater than zero, suggesting the indicator has increased over the prior month. If the share of firms reporting a decrease exceeds the share reporting an increase, the index will be below zero, suggesting the indicator has decreased over the prior month. An index will be zero when the number of firms reporting an increase is equal to the number of firms reporting a decrease.
2024-07-30 10:30:00 United States Texas Services Sector Outlook -4.1 - Survey responses are used to calculate an index for each indicator. Each index is calculated by subtracting the percentage of respondents reporting a decrease from the percentage reporting an increase. When the share of firms reporting an increase exceeds the share of firms reporting a decrease, the index will be greater than zero, suggesting the indicator has increased over the prior month. If the share of firms reporting a decrease exceeds the share reporting an increase, the index will be below zero, suggesting the indicator has decreased over the prior month. An index will be zero when the number of firms reporting an increase is equal to the number of firms reporting a decrease.
2024-07-30 10:00:00 United States CB Consumer Confidence 99.8 100.4 - Conference Board (CB) Consumer Confidence measures the level of consumer confidence in economic activity. It is a leading indicator as it can predict consumer spending, which plays a major role in overall economic activity. Higher readings point to higher consumer optimism. A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the USD, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the USD.
2024-07-30 10:00:00 United States JOLTs Job Openings 8.030M 8.140M - A survey done by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics to help measure job vacancies. It collects data from employers about their businesses' employment, job openings, recruitment, hires and separations. JOLTS defines Job Openings as all positions that are open (not filled) on the last business day of the month. A job is "open" only if it meets all three of the following conditions: 1. A specific position exists and there is work available for that position. 2. The job could start within 30 days, whether or not the establishment finds a suitable candidate during that time. 3. There is active recruiting for workers from outside the establishment location that has the opening. A reading that is stronger than forecast is generally supportive (bullish) for the USD, while a weaker than forecast reading is generally negative (bearish) for the USD.
2024-07-30 09:00:00 United States House Price Index 6.3% - The HPI is published by OFHEO using data provided by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. House price index is a statistic designed to reflect the average change of house prices across the country or a certain area. A higher than expected number should be taken as positive to the USD, while a lower than expected number as negative
2024-07-30 09:00:00 United States House Price Index 0.2% 0.2% - The House Price Index (HPI) is a broad measure of the movement of single-family house prices, with mortgages backed by Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac. This report helps to analyze the strength of the US housing market, which helps to analysis the economy as a whole. A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the USD, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the USD.
2024-07-30 09:00:00 United States House Price Index 424.3 - OFHEO's House Price Index (HPI) is a measure designed to capture changes in the value of single-family homes in the U.S. as a whole, in various regions of the country. The HPI is published by OFHEO using data provided by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. House price index is a statistic designed to reflect the average change of house prices across the country or a certain area. It ensures that the relative importance of different property types in different regions remains fixed throughout the life of the index. Different adjustment must be used as no two houses are identical. Therefore characteristics such as physical attributes of a house or its location should be included in the calculation if the index. Rising house prices are likely to increase consumer confidence and consumer spending which lead to rising aggregate demand. This can have two effects. On one hand it causes higher economic growth. However, on the other hand, it might contribute to inflation. Increased consumer spending is usually aimed at imported goods thus higher house prices cause current account deficit.
2024-07-30 09:00:00 United States S&P/CS HPI Composite - 20 s.a. 0.4% - House price index is a statistic designed to reflect the average change of house prices across the country or a certain area.It ensures that the relative importance of different property types in different regions remains fixed throughout the life of the index.Different adjustment must be used as no two houses are identical. Therefore characteristics such as physical attributes of a house or its location should be included in the calculation if the index. Rising house prices are likely to increase consumer confidence and consumer spending which lead to rising aggregate demand. This can have two effects. On one hand it causes higher economic growth. However, on the other hand, it might contribute to inflation. Increased consumer spending is usually aimed at imported goods thus higher house prices cause current account deficit.
2024-07-30 09:00:00 United States S&P/CS HPI Composite - 20 n.s.a. 1.4% - The Case-Shiller index prices are measured monthly and tracks repeat sales of houses using a modified version of the weighted-repeat sales methodology proposed by Karl Case and Robert Shiller and Allan Weiss. This means that, to a large extent, it is able to adjust for the quality of the homes sold, unlike simple averages. As a monthly tracking index, Case-Shiller Index has long lag time. Typically, it takes about 2 months for S&P to publish the results, as opposed to 1 month for most other monthly indices and indicators. A higher than expected number should be taken as positive to the USD, while a lower than expected number as negative.
2024-07-30 09:00:00 United States S&P/CS HPI Composite - 20 n.s.a. 7.4% 7.2% - The S&P/Case-Shiller House Price Index measures the change in the selling price of single-family homes in 20 metropolitan areas. A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the USD,while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the USD.
2024-07-30 08:55:00 United States Redbook 4.9% - The Redbook Index is a sales-weighted of year-over-year same-store sales growth in a sample of large US general merchandise retailers representing about 9,000 stores. A higher than expected number should be taken as positive to the USD, while a lower than expected number as negative.
2024-07-29 11:30:00 United States 3-Month Bill Auction 5.190% 5.145% The figures displayed in the calendar represent the rate on the Treasury Bill auctioned. U.S. Treasury Bills have maturities of a few days to one year. Governments issue treasuries to borrow money to cover the gap between the amount they receive in taxes and the amount they spend to refinance existing debt and/or to raise capital. The rate on a Treasury Bill represents the return an investor will receive by holding the bill for its entire duration. All bidders receive the same rate at the highest accepted bid. Yield fluctuations should be monitored closely as an indicator of the government debt situation. Investors compare the average rate at auction to the rate at previous auctions of the same security.
2024-07-29 11:30:00 United States 6-Month Bill Auction 4.990% 4.930% The figures displayed in the calendar represent the rate on the Treasury Bill auctioned. U.S. Treasury Bills have maturities of a few days to one year. Governments issue treasuries to borrow money to cover the gap between the amount they receive in taxes and the amount they spend to refinance existing debt and/or to raise capital. The rate on a Treasury Bill represents the return an investor will receive by holding the bill for its entire duration. All bidders receive the same rate at the highest accepted bid. Yield fluctuations should be monitored closely as an indicator of the government debt situation. Investors compare the average rate at auction to the rate at previous auctions of the same security.
2024-07-29 10:30:00 United States Dallas Fed Mfg Business Index -15.1 -17.5 The Dallas Fed conducts the Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey monthly to obtain a timely assessment of the state factory activity. Firms are asked whether output, employment, orders, prices and other indicators increased, decreased or remained unchanged over the previous month. Survey responses are used to calculate an index for each indicator. Each index is calculated by subtracting the percentage of respondents reporting a decrease from the percentage reporting an increase. When the share of firms reporting an increase exceeds the share of firms reporting a decrease, the index will be greater than zero, suggesting the indicator has increased over the prior month. If the share of firms reporting a decrease exceeds the share reporting an increase, the index will be below zero,suggesting the indicator has decreased over the prior month. An index will be zero when the number of firms reporting an increase is equal to the number of firms reporting a decrease. A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the USD , while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the USD.

Two Year-Ten Year | 2Y-10Y | Month/Day Chart

Source: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Minus 2-Year Treasury Constant Maturity | Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (US), Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 2-Year Constant Maturity, Quoted on an Investment Basis via FRED | Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (US), Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 10-Year Constant Maturity, Quoted on an Investment Basis via FRED

Treasury Rates| (Source: Federal Reserve)

1 Month 3 Month 6 Month 1-Year 2-Year 3-Year 5-Year 7-Year 10-Year 20-Year 30-Year
date
2024-07-26 0.0549 0.0538 0.0518 0.0479 0.0436 0.0420 0.0406 0.0410 0.0420 0.0453 0.0445
2024-07-25 0.0549 0.0539 0.0519 0.0483 0.0441 0.0426 0.0413 0.0418 0.0427 0.0459 0.0450
2024-07-24 0.0550 0.0540 0.0519 0.0482 0.0437 0.0424 0.0412 0.0420 0.0428 0.0462 0.0454
2024-07-23 0.0549 0.0541 0.0522 0.0485 0.0440 0.0426 0.0415 0.0418 0.0425 0.0456 0.0448
2024-07-22 0.0549 0.0543 0.0524 0.0488 0.0450 0.0429 0.0417 0.0420 0.0426 0.0457 0.0448
2024-07-19 0.0548 0.0543 0.0524 0.0487 0.0449 0.0428 0.0416 0.0418 0.0425 0.0455 0.0445
2024-07-18 0.0548 0.0543 0.0523 0.0486 0.0446 0.0424 0.0411 0.0414 0.0420 0.0451 0.0441
2024-07-17 0.0547 0.0543 0.0523 0.0485 0.0442 0.0419 0.0407 0.0409 0.0416 0.0446 0.0437
2024-07-16 0.0548 0.0543 0.0523 0.0485 0.0443 0.0421 0.0409 0.0411 0.0417 0.0448 0.0438
2024-07-15 0.0548 0.0543 0.0523 0.0485 0.0444 0.0423 0.0413 0.0416 0.0423 0.0456 0.0446

Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (US) via FRED | Treasury Rate 10 Day

Overnight Unsecured AMERIBOR Benchmark Interest Rate

Source: American Financial Exchange, Overnight Unsecured AMERIBOR Benchmark Interest Rate [AMERIBOR], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/AMERIBOR

Discount Window Primary Credit Rate

Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (US), Discount Window Primary Credit Rate [DPCREDIT], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/DPCREDIT

Effective Federal Funds Rate

Source: Federal Reserve Bank of New York, Effective Federal Funds Rate [EFFR], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/EFFR

Interest Rate on Reserve Balances IORB

Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (US), Interest Rate on Reserve Balances [IORB], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/IORB

Federal Government current expenditures: Interest payments (Billlions of $) [x 100]

Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, Federal government current expenditures: Interest payments [A091RC1Q027SBEA], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/A091RC1Q027SBEA

Federal Debt: Total Public Debt | Millions of Dollars

Source: U.S. Department of the Treasury. Fiscal Service, Federal Debt: Total Public Debt [GFDEBTN], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/GFDEBTN

Market Value of Marketable Treasury Debt | Billions of Dollars

Source: Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, Market Value of Marketable Treasury Debt [MVMTD027MNFRBDAL], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/MVMTD027MNFRBDAL

Real Gross Domestic Product Billions of Chained 2017 Dollars

Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, Real Gross Domestic Product [GDPC1], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/GDPC1

Bank Term Funding Program, Net: Wednesday Level (Mil. of U.S. $) [x 100K]

Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (US), Assets: Liquidity and Credit Facilities: Loans: Bank Term Funding Program, Net: Wednesday Level [H41RESPPALDKNWW], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/H41RESPPALDKNWW

Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items in U.S. City Average

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items in U.S. City Average [CPIAUCSL], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CPIAUCSL

Core Sticky Price Consumer Price Index less Food and Energy

Source: Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, Sticky Price Consumer Price Index less Food and Energy [CORESTICKM159SFRBATL], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CORESTICKM159SFRBATL

St. Louis Fed Financial Stress Index

Source: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, St. Louis Fed Financial Stress Index [STLFSI4], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/STLFSI4

Real-time Sahm Rule Recession Indicator

Source: Sahm, Claudia, Real-time Sahm Rule Recession Indicator [SAHMREALTIME], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/SAHMREALTIME

M1-M2 Money | Billions of Dollars

Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (US), M1 [M1NS], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/M1NS

Real M1 Money | Billions of Dollars

Source: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, Real M1 Money Stock [M1REAL], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/M1REAL

Base Money & Currency in Circulation | Millions of Dollars

Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (US), Monetary Base; Total [BOGMBASE], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis & Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (US), Monetary Base; Currency in Circulation [MBCURRCIR], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis | Monthly Not Seasonally Adjusted | Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (US), M2 [M2NS], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/M2NS