Bullonomics.com, 19 August, 2024, 00:39, America/New_York, Econ Report

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United States Event Calendar | (Source: Nasdaq)

country event consensus previous actual description
date
2024-08-19 11:30:00 United States 3-Month Bill Auction 5.070% - The figures displayed in the calendar represent the rate on the Treasury Bill auctioned. U.S. Treasury Bills have maturities of a few days to one year. Governments issue treasuries to borrow money to cover the gap between the amount they receive in taxes and the amount they spend to refinance existing debt and/or to raise capital. The rate on a Treasury Bill represents the return an investor will receive by holding the bill for its entire duration. All bidders receive the same rate at the highest accepted bid. Yield fluctuations should be monitored closely as an indicator of the government debt situation. Investors compare the average rate at auction to the rate at previous auctions of the same security.
2024-08-19 11:30:00 United States 6-Month Bill Auction 4.795% - The figures displayed in the calendar represent the rate on the Treasury Bill auctioned. U.S. Treasury Bills have maturities of a few days to one year. Governments issue treasuries to borrow money to cover the gap between the amount they receive in taxes and the amount they spend to refinance existing debt and/or to raise capital. The rate on a Treasury Bill represents the return an investor will receive by holding the bill for its entire duration. All bidders receive the same rate at the highest accepted bid. Yield fluctuations should be monitored closely as an indicator of the government debt situation. Investors compare the average rate at auction to the rate at previous auctions of the same security.
2024-08-19 10:00:00 United States US Leading Index -0.4% -0.2% - The composite economic indexes are the key elements in an analytic system designed to signal peaks and troughs in the business cycle. The leading, coincident, and lagging economic indexes are essentially composite averages of several individual leading, coincident, or lagging indicators. They are constructed to summarize and reveal common turning point patterns in economic data in a clearer and more convincing manner than any individual component – primarily because they smooth out some of the volatility of individual components.
2024-08-19 09:15:00 United States Fed Waller Speaks - - NaN
2024-08-16 15:30:00 United States CFTC Silver speculative net positions 49.1K 45.3K The Commodity Futures Trading Commission's (CFTC) weekly Commitments of Traders (COT) report provides a breakdown of the net positions for "non-commercial" (speculative) traders in U.S. futures markets. All data corresponds to positions held by participants primarily based in Chicago and New York futures markets. The Commitments of Traders report is considered an indicator for analyzing market sentiment and many speculative traders use the data to help them decide whether or not to take a long or short position. Commitments of Traders (COT) data is released each Friday at 3:30pm Eastern Time, pending a holiday in the U.S., to reflect the commitments of traders on the prior Tuesday.
2024-08-16 15:30:00 United States CFTC Corn speculative net positions -152.0K -154.0K NaN
2024-08-16 15:30:00 United States CFTC Soybeans speculative net positions -159.1K -165.7K NaN
2024-08-16 15:30:00 United States CFTC Aluminium speculative net positions 2.2K 2.2K The Commodity Futures Trading Commission's (CFTC) weekly Commitments of Traders (COT) report provides a breakdown of the net positions for ""non-commercial"" (speculative) traders in U.S. futures markets. All data corresponds to positions held by participants primarily based in Chicago and New York futures markets. The Commitments of Traders report is considered an indicator for analyzing market sentiment and many speculative traders use the data to help them decide whether or not to take a long or short position. Commitments of Traders (COT) data is released each Friday at 3:30pm Eastern Time, pending a holiday in the U.S., to reflect the commitments of traders on the prior Tuesday.
2024-08-16 15:30:00 United States CFTC Copper speculative net positions 19.6K 15.8K The Commodity Futures Trading Commission's (CFTC) weekly Commitments of Traders (COT) report provides a breakdown of the net positions for "non-commercial" (speculative) traders in U.S. futures markets. All data corresponds to positions held by participants primarily based in Chicago and New York futures markets. The Commitments of Traders report is considered an indicator for analyzing market sentiment and many speculative traders use the data to help them decide whether or not to take a long or short position. Commitments of Traders (COT) data is released each Friday at 3:30pm Eastern Time, pending a holiday in the U.S., to reflect the commitments of traders on the prior Tuesday.
2024-08-16 15:30:00 United States CFTC Wheat speculative net positions -40.4K -38.9K NaN
2024-08-16 15:30:00 United States CFTC Crude Oil speculative net positions 222.3K 231.5K NaN
2024-08-16 15:30:00 United States CFTC Gold speculative net positions 238.7K 267.3K The Commodity Futures Trading Commission's (CFTC) weekly Commitments of Traders (COT) report provides a breakdown of the net positions for "non-commercial" (speculative) traders in U.S. futures markets. All data corresponds to positions held by participants primarily based in Chicago and New York futures markets. The Commitments of Traders report is considered an indicator for analyzing market sentiment and many speculative traders use the data to help them decide whether or not to take a long or short position. Commitments of Traders (COT) data is released each Friday at 3:30pm Eastern Time, pending a holiday in the U.S., to reflect the commitments of traders on the prior Tuesday.
2024-08-16 15:30:00 United States CFTC Nasdaq 100 speculative net positions 12.6K 8.5K NaN
2024-08-16 15:30:00 United States CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions 34.0K -23.5K The Commodity Futures Trading Commission's (CFTC) weekly Commitments of Traders (COT) report provides a breakdown of the net positions for "non-commercial" (speculative) traders in U.S. futures markets. All data corresponds to positions held by participants primarily based in Chicago and New York futures markets. The Commitments of Traders report is considered an indicator for analyzing market sentiment and many speculative traders use the data to help them decide whether or not to take a long or short position. Commitments of Traders (COT) data is released each Friday at 3:30pm Eastern Time, pending a holiday in the U.S., to reflect the commitments of traders on the prior Tuesday.
2024-08-16 15:30:00 United States CFTC Natural Gas speculative net positions -66.3K -80.8K The Commodity Futures Trading Commission's (CFTC) weekly Commitments of Traders (COT) report provides a breakdown of the net positions for ""non-commercial"" (speculative) traders in U.S. futures markets. All data corresponds to positions held by participants primarily based in Chicago and New York futures markets. The Commitments of Traders report is considered an indicator for analyzing market sentiment and many speculative traders use the data to help them decide whether or not to take a long or short position. Commitments of Traders (COT) data is released each Friday at 3:30pm Eastern Time, pending a holiday in the U.S., to reflect the commitments of traders on the prior Tuesday.
2024-08-16 13:25:00 United States Fed Goolsbee Speaks - - NaN
2024-08-16 13:00:00 United States U.S. Baker Hughes Total Rig Count 588 586 NaN
2024-08-16 13:00:00 United States U.S. Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count 485 483 The Baker Hughes rig count is an important business barometer for the oil drilling industry. When drilling rigs are active they consume products and services produced by the oil service industry. The active rig count acts as a leading indicator of demand for oil products.
2024-08-16 10:30:00 United States Atlanta Fed GDPNow 2.4% 2.4% 2.0% GDPNow is not an official forecast of the Atlanta Fed. Rather, it is best viewed as a running estimate of real GDP growth based on available economic data for the current measured quarter. There are no subjective adjustments made to GDPNow—the estimate is based solely on the mathematical results of the model. In particular, it does not capture the impact of COVID-19 and social mobility beyond their impact on GDP source data and relevant economic reports that have already been released. It does not anticipate their impact on forthcoming economic reports beyond the standard internal dynamics of the model.
2024-08-16 10:00:00 United States Michigan 1-Year Inflation Expectations 2.8% 2.9% 2.9% University of Michigan (UoM) Inflation Expectations measures the percentage that consumers expect the price of goods and services to change during the next 12 months. There are two versions of this data released two weeks apart,Preliminary and Revised. The preliminary release is the earliest so tends to have more impact. A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the USD, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the USD.
2024-08-16 10:00:00 United States Michigan Consumer Expectations 68.5 68.8 72.1 The Michigan sentiment index includes two major components, a "current conditions" component and an "expectations" component. The current conditions component index is based on the answers to two standard questions and the expectations component index is based on three standard questions. This number is the expectations part of the overall index. A higher than expected number should be taken as positive to the USD, while a lower than expected number as negative. This is the final number.
2024-08-16 10:00:00 United States Michigan Consumer Sentiment 66.7 66.4 67.8 The University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index rates the relative level of current and future economic conditions. There are two versions of this data released two weeks apart, preliminary and revised. The preliminary data tends to have a greater impact. The reading is compiled from a survey of around 500 consumers. A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the USD, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the USD.
2024-08-16 10:00:00 United States Michigan Current Conditions 63.1 62.7 60.9 The Michigan sentiment index includes two major components, a "current conditions" component and an "expectations" component. The current conditions component index is based on the answers to two standard questions and the expectations component index is based on three standard questions. All five questions have equal weight in determining the overall index. A higher than expected number should be taken as positive to the USD, while a lower than expected number as negative. This is the final number. This is the preliminary number.
2024-08-16 10:00:00 United States Michigan 5-Year Inflation Expectations 2.9% 3.0% 3.0% The University of Michigan Inflation Expectations survey of consumers presents the median expected price changes for the next 5 years. A reading that is stronger than forecast is generally supportive (bullish) for the USD, while a weaker than forecast reading is generally negative (bearish) for the USD.
2024-08-16 08:30:00 United States Building Permits 3.9% -4.0% Building Permits is a report closely watched by economists and investors alike. Since all related factors associated with the construction of a building are important economic activities (for example, financing and employment), the building permit report can give a major hint as to the state of the economy in the near future. A higher than expected number should be taken as positive to the USD, while a lower than expected number as negative.
2024-08-16 08:30:00 United States Housing Starts 1.1% -6.8% Housing Starts measures the change in the number of new constructions underway. The construction industry is one of the first to go into a recession when the economy declines but also to recover as conditions improve. A higher than expected number should be taken as positive to the USD, while a lower than expected number as negative
2024-08-16 08:30:00 United States Housing Starts 1.340M 1.329M 1.238M Housing starts measures the change in the annualized number of new residential buildings that began construction during the reported month. It is a leading indicator of strength in the housing sector. A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the USD, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the USD.
2024-08-16 08:30:00 United States Building Permits 1.430M 1.454M 1.396M Building Permits measures the change in the number of new building permits issued by the government. Building permits are a key indicator of demand in the housing market. A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the USD, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the USD.

Two Year-Ten Year | 2Y-10Y | Month/Day Chart

Source: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Minus 2-Year Treasury Constant Maturity | Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (US), Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 2-Year Constant Maturity, Quoted on an Investment Basis via FRED | Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (US), Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 10-Year Constant Maturity, Quoted on an Investment Basis via FRED

Treasury Rates| (Source: Federal Reserve)

1 Month 3 Month 6 Month 1-Year 2-Year 3-Year 5-Year 7-Year 10-Year 20-Year 30-Year
date
2024-08-15 0.0553 0.0534 0.0504 0.0452 0.0408 0.0390 0.0379 0.0383 0.0392 0.0428 0.0418
2024-08-14 0.0549 0.0532 0.0500 0.0442 0.0394 0.0376 0.0367 0.0372 0.0383 0.0422 0.0412
2024-08-13 0.0548 0.0532 0.0497 0.0440 0.0393 0.0375 0.0368 0.0374 0.0385 0.0425 0.0416
2024-08-12 0.0553 0.0533 0.0502 0.0447 0.0401 0.0382 0.0375 0.0380 0.0390 0.0430 0.0419
2024-08-09 0.0554 0.0533 0.0502 0.0450 0.0405 0.0386 0.0380 0.0385 0.0394 0.0433 0.0423
2024-08-08 0.0555 0.0534 0.0501 0.0448 0.0404 0.0386 0.0383 0.0389 0.0399 0.0438 0.0428
2024-08-07 0.0550 0.0534 0.0499 0.0445 0.0400 0.0381 0.0379 0.0385 0.0396 0.0435 0.0426
2024-08-06 0.0550 0.0534 0.0500 0.0446 0.0399 0.0376 0.0373 0.0379 0.0390 0.0428 0.0418
2024-08-05 0.0552 0.0535 0.0491 0.0434 0.0389 0.0371 0.0362 0.0366 0.0378 0.0416 0.0406
2024-08-02 0.0554 0.0529 0.0488 0.0433 0.0388 0.0370 0.0362 0.0368 0.0380 0.0419 0.0411

Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (US) via FRED | Treasury Rate 10 Day

Overnight Unsecured AMERIBOR Benchmark Interest Rate

Source: American Financial Exchange, Overnight Unsecured AMERIBOR Benchmark Interest Rate [AMERIBOR], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/AMERIBOR

Discount Window Primary Credit Rate

Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (US), Discount Window Primary Credit Rate [DPCREDIT], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/DPCREDIT

Effective Federal Funds Rate

Source: Federal Reserve Bank of New York, Effective Federal Funds Rate [EFFR], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/EFFR

Interest Rate on Reserve Balances IORB

Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (US), Interest Rate on Reserve Balances [IORB], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/IORB

Federal Government current expenditures: Interest payments (Billlions of $) [x 100]

Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, Federal government current expenditures: Interest payments [A091RC1Q027SBEA], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/A091RC1Q027SBEA

Federal Debt: Total Public Debt | Millions of Dollars

Source: U.S. Department of the Treasury. Fiscal Service, Federal Debt: Total Public Debt [GFDEBTN], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/GFDEBTN

Total Assets: Total Assets (Less Eliminations from Consolidation): Wednesday Level

Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (US), Assets: Total Assets: Total Assets (Less Eliminations from Consolidation): Wednesday Level [WALCL], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/WALCL

Core Sticky Price Consumer Price Index less Food and Energy

Source: Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, Sticky Price Consumer Price Index less Food and Energy [CORESTICKM159SFRBATL], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CORESTICKM159SFRBATL

Market Value of Marketable Treasury Debt | Billions of Dollars

Source: Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, Market Value of Marketable Treasury Debt [MVMTD027MNFRBDAL], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/MVMTD027MNFRBDAL

Real Gross Domestic Product Billions of Chained 2017 Dollars

Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, Real Gross Domestic Product [GDPC1], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/GDPC1

Bank Term Funding Program, Net: Wednesday Level (Mil. of U.S. $) [x 100K]

Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (US), Assets: Liquidity and Credit Facilities: Loans: Bank Term Funding Program, Net: Wednesday Level [H41RESPPALDKNWW], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/H41RESPPALDKNWW

Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items in U.S. City Average

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items in U.S. City Average [CPIAUCSL], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CPIAUCSL

St. Louis Fed Financial Stress Index

Source: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, St. Louis Fed Financial Stress Index [STLFSI4], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/STLFSI4

Real-time Sahm Rule Recession Indicator

Source: Sahm, Claudia, Real-time Sahm Rule Recession Indicator [SAHMREALTIME], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/SAHMREALTIME

M1-M2 Money | Billions of Dollars

Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (US), M1 [M1NS], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/M1NS

Real M1 Money | Billions of Dollars

Source: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, Real M1 Money Stock [M1REAL], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/M1REAL

Real M2 Money | Billions of Dollars

Source: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, Real M2 Money Stock [M2REAL], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/M2REAL

Velocity of M2 Money Stock | Ratio, Seasonally Adjusted

Source: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, Velocity of M2 Money Stock [M2V], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/M2V

Base Money & Currency in Circulation | Millions of Dollars

Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (US), Monetary Base; Total [BOGMBASE], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis & Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (US), Monetary Base; Currency in Circulation [MBCURRCIR], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis | Monthly Not Seasonally Adjusted | Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (US), M2 [M2NS], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/M2NS